Belrose, Inc.
World Fruit Market Analysis
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World Kiwifruit Review 2008 Edition
Table of Contents

Foreword

2
Table of Contents 3
Tables 5

Charts

6
Acknowledgments 6
Keeping One's Eye on the Goal 7
I. Production of Kiwifruit 12
Kiwifruit Area Growing Modestly 12
World Kiwifruit Production Pauses in 2007 13
Formidable Competition for Kiwifruit 15
China Becomes Leading Kiwifruit Producer 18
One Variety No Longer Fits All 20
Erratic Expansion in Italy 22
China Prepares for Global Competition 23
New Zealand: What to Do for an Encore 24
Chile on the Upswing 25
Mixed Fortunes for France and Greece 26
Japan and United States Try to Reverse Slide 27
Stirrings in Other Producing Countries 28
II. Trade in Fresh Kiwifruit 29
Kiwifruit Trade to Retract in 2007-08 29
Fresh Kiwifruit Exports Impressive Gains 33
Global Trade Flows 34
Italy Kicks up Exports a Notch 38
New Zealand Seeks Premium Markets 39
Chile Seeks New Markets 40
Greece Looks beyond EU Borders 41
France Heavily Dependent on EU Markets 42
Iran Export Expansion Stalled in 2005 42
China Still a Net Importer 44
Influence of Seasonality on Trade 44
III. Consumption of Fresh Kiwifruit 49
Stable Per Capita Availability of Kiwifruit 49
Consumption Variation among Producing Countries 50
Per Capita Consumption Struggles in the United States 51
Substantial Consumption in Non-Producing Countries 52
IV. Prices of Fresh Kiwifruit 55
Prices Shift with Seasons 55
U.S. Price Trends 56
Price Comparisons among Big Three Exporters 58
European Export Prices Rebound in 2006-07 59
Influence of Marketing Margins on Grower Prices 60
Wholesale Markets Mixed in 2007 65
Other Quality Impacts on Kiwifruit Prices 70
V. Analyzing Demand for Fresh Kiwifruit 73
Distinguishing Demand Changes 73
World Demand for Fresh Kiwifruit Imports 76
Retail Demand in Western Europe 77
Farm Level Demand in United States 80
Influence of New Cultivars on Demand 81
Summary Comments on Demand for Fresh Kiwifruit 82
VI. Marketing Initiatives 83
Complex Tasks Ahead 83
New Zealand Struggles to Stay Ahead 84
Italian Industry Seeks Discipline 86
France Seeks Market Premiums 87
Greece Still Upgrading 88
Chile Faces Threat to Growth 89
Uncertainty in United States 90
China Makes Its Move 90
Marketing Deserts 91
VII. Strategic Issues 92
Adding Value to a Commodity 92
Reducing Unit Costs 93
Doing Good by Society 96
Country Index 98
Charts
World: Area Harvested of Kiwifruit, 1990-2007 12
World: Production of Kiwifruit, 1990-2007 14
EU-15: Imports of Fresh Pineapples, Papayas and Mangos, 1996-2007 17
United States: Imports of Fresh Pineapples, Papayas, Mangos, 1996-2007 17
Italy: Kiwifruit Area and Production, 1997-2007 22
China: Kiwifruit Area and Production, 1997-2007 23
New Zealand: Kiwifruit Area and Production, 1997-2007 24
Chile: Kiwifruit Area and Production, 1997-2007 25
France and Greece: Kiwifruit Area and Production, 1997-2007 26
Japan and United States: Kiwifruit Area and Production, 1997-2007 27
World: Exports of Fresh Kiwifruit, 1995-2007 29
EU-27: Monthly Volume of Imports from EU-27, Chile and
New Zealand, October 2004 - October 2007
45
EU-27: Monthly Prices of Imports from EU-27, Chile and
New Zealand, October 2004 - October 2007
46
Italy: Monthly Sales of Kiwifruit, November-May Seasons, 2003-2007 47
United States: Monthly Supplies of Kiwifruit from Domestic
Shipments and Imports, 2004-2007
48
World: Kiwifruit Availability, China and Rest of World, 1982-2007 49
Major Producing Countries:Per Capita Disappearance,
1995-98 to 2005-08
50
United States: Per Capita Consumption of Fresh Kiwifruit, 1988-2006 51
United States: Current and Deflated Grower Prices of
Fresh Kiwifruit, 1990-2006
56
United States: Import and Export Prices of Fresh Kiwifruit, 1996-2007 57
France: Orchard Gate Returns for Kiwifruit, by Fruit Size, Selected Years 71
France: Retail Price Comparisons,Bulk v. Packaged, 2001-02 to 2006-07 72
Hypothetical Demand Curves for Fresh Kiwifruit 73
France and Italy: Estimated Quarterly Sales Per Capita in Large
Retail Stores, 2003-2007
78
France and Italy: Estimated Quarterly Retail Prices in Large
Retail Stores, 2003-2007
78
Major Producing Countries: Average Kiwifruit Yields per Hectare,
1995-98 and 2005-08
94
Tables
World: Share of Production of Major Fruit Groups, 1983-85,
1993-95 and 2004-06
15
Top Ten Kiwifruit Producing Countries, by Rank and Tonnage,
1995-97 and 2005-07
19
Kiwifruit Production, Trade and Estimated Domestic Production,
Selected Countries and Years
30
Kiwifruit Import and Export Dependence, Selected Countries and Years 31
Fresh Kiwifruit: Partial Global Trade Matrix, 2006 34
Fresh Kiwifruit: Distribution of Sales,by Major Exporter & Region, 2006 36
Fresh Kiwifruit: Sources of Imports from Major Exporter & Region,2006 37
Italy: Fresh Kiwifruit Exports, by Destination, 2001-07 38
New Zealand: Fresh Kiwifruit Exports, by Destination, 2001-07 39
Chile: Fresh Kiwifruit Exports, by Destination, 2001-07 40
Greece: Fresh Kiwifruit Exports, by Destination, 2001-07 41
France: Fresh Kiwifruit Exports,by Destination,Oct-May Seasons, 01-07 42
Iran: Fresh Kiwifruit Exports, by Destination, 2001-2005 43
China: Imports and Exports of Fresh Kiwifruit, 2001-2006 44
Non-Producing Countries: Kiwifruit Per Capita Disappearance, 2002-06 53
Big Three Kiwifruit Exporters: Net Market Returns, 1998-2007 Seasons 58
Big Three Kiwifruit Exporters: Grower Returns, 1998-2007 Seasons 59
Italy, France and Greece: Kiwifruit Export Prices, 1991-92 to 2007-08 60
Italy: Retail, FOB and Grower Prices and Marketing Margins,
2000-01 to 2006-07
61
France: Average Retail and Grower Prices and Marketing Margins for
Calendar Years, 1999-2007
62
Other Major Producing Countries: Producing Handling and Marketing
Charges, 1998-2000
63
New Zealand: Orchard Gate Return, by Pack, 2001-08 64
New York: Wholesale Prices of Fresh Kiwifruit, 2007 66
Paris: Wholesale Prices of Fresh Kiwifruit, 2007 67
Toronto: Wholesale Prices of Fresh Kiwifruit, 2007 67
Rotterdam: Wholesale Prices of Fresh Kiwifruit, 2007 68
New Zealand: Returns from Kiwifruit Exports, 2001-07 70
Acknowledgments
I am deeply indebted to Jean-Michel Fournier, Director, Bureau National Interprofessionel du Kiwi (BIK), Toulouse, France, for providing much valuable information and continuous assistance in completing this project.

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Tel: 509-332-1754
Fax: 509-334-5209