Belrose, Inc.
World Fruit Market Analysis
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World Pear Review 2008 Edition
Table of Contents

Foreword

2
Table of Contents
3
Tables
5

Charts

6
Generating Excitement in the Produce Aisle
7
I. Production of Pears
13
Pear Production Holds above 20 million metric tons in 2007
13
China's Growing Importance
17
Competition in and for Deciduous Fruits
18
Future of Global Pear Production
20
Trends in Major Producing Countries
21

China Marches On

24

Italy Remains Strong

25

Malaise in United States

26

Uphill Battle in Spain

26

Argentina Survives Turmoil

27

South Korea Faces Change

27

Japan Adjusts Supplies Downwards

27

South Africa Awaits Change of Fortune

28

Profitability a Key for Turkey

28

Is Smaller Better for France?

28

Expansion Slows in Belgium

29

Netherlands Rides on Past Momentum

29

Portugal relies on Rocha

29

Greece Fights Variability

29

Chile Faces Further Decline

30

Australia Faces Many Challenges

30

New Zealand Seeks Premium Niches

30

Role of Major Net Importers

31

Canada Industry to Refocus

31

Other Pear Producing Countries

32
Prospects for Different Pear Varieties, by Region
32
The Challenge of Asian Pears
37
II. Trade in Fresh Pears
39
Pear Trade Value Rising Faster than Volume
39
Major Leaders in the Fresh Pear Trade
40
Importance of International Trade Flows
43
Future Trade Prospects
49
III. Consumption of All Pears
50
Dichotomy in Per Capita Availability of Pear Types
50
Major Uses of Pears in 2005-07
51
Domestic Fresh Use Per Capita
52
Refining Per Capita Consumption Measures
57
Mixed Signals for Per Capita Consumption
58
Competition for Fresh Pear Consumers
61
Future Prospects for Pear Consumption
63
IV. Prices and Marketing Margins
65
Pears Enjoy Recent Bounce in Prices
65
Grower Prices in United States Diverge for Different Uses
67
Effect of Variety and Strain on Pear Prices
70
Effect of Foreign Trade on Pear Prices
70
Role of Marketing Margins for Grower Prices
75
Implications for Fresh Pear Demand
78
V. Productivity and Efficiency in Production and Marketing
80
Competitiveness Remains Pre-eminent
80
Other Factors Affecting Competitiveness
84
Competitiveness Rankings in 2008
85
VI. Pear Processing
88
Pear Processing Still Strong
88
China's Growing Footprint
89
Processing Industry Trends
91
Trade Flows in Processed Pears
93
Future Prospects for the Processed Pear Sector
97
VII. Critical Issues for the Pear Industry
98
Country Index
99
Tables
Top Pear Producing Countries, 1989-91, 1999-01, 2004-06 and 2007
17
World: Production of Major Fruits, Selected Years
19
World: Projections of Pear Production to 2015
20
EU-15: Share of Pear Production, by Variety, 1988-2007
33
United States: Share of Pear Production, by Variety, 1988-2007
34
Chile: Export Shares, by Variety, 1992-2007
35
South Africa: Export Shares, by Variety, 1997-2007
36
Top Ten Exporters of Fresh Pears, 2004-2007
41
Top Ten Importers of Fresh Pears, 2004-2007
42
World: Major Regional Trade Flows of Fresh Pears, 2006-07
43
World: Distribution of Supplies, by Major Markets, 2006-07
45
World: Market Share of Major Suppliers, 2006-07
46
Major Importing Countries: Key Suppliers, Marketing Year, 2006-07
47
Major Producing Countries: Major Sources and Uses of Pears,
Selected Countries, 2005-07
52
Major Producing Countries: Fresh Per Capita Domestic Use and Processing Share of Pear Use, 1999-01 and 2005-07
55
Comparison of Per Capita Fresh Use of Apples and Pears, Selected Countries, 2005-07
62
Selected Countries: Retail Prices of Fresh Pears and Fresh Apples, 1999-2007
66
United States: Grower Prices of Pears, by Use, All, Bartlett and
Other Pears, 1984-2007
69
Washington State: Prices of Fresh Pears, by Major Variety and Strain, 2000-2007
70
Japan: Prices and Marketing Margins for Asian Pears, 1998-2006
78
Pears: Comparative Performance Measures, 2008
81
Pear Production: Comparative Performance Measures, 2008
83
Competitiveness Rankings of Major Pear Producing Countries, 2008
85
Global Pear Market: Categories of Competitors, 2008
87
World: Total Pears for Processing, by Region, 2001-07
89
Top Ten Pear Processing Countries, 2001-07
90
China: Canned Pear Exports, by Region, 2000-06
93
EU-15: Annual Imports of Canned Pears, by Source, 2000-07
94
EU-15: Average Prices of Imported Canned Pears, by Source, 2000-07
95
United States: Annual Imports of Canned Pears, by Source, 1995-2007
96
United States: Average Prices of Imported Canned Pears, 2000-07
96
Charts
World: Estimated Pear Production, by Type, 1990-2007
14
Southern Hemisphere: Pear Production, Selected Years
16
World: Pear Exports, 1989-2007
39
United States: Changes in Prices Paid by Farmers, January 2004 to January 2008
23
World, Asian Three and Rest of World: Per Capita Supplies of Asian, Western and All Pears, 1991-2007
50
United States: Per Capita Consumption of Pears, by Use, Selected Years, 1979-2006
58
Canada: Per Capita Consumption of Fresh Apples and Fresh Pears, 1990-2006
59
Japan: Quantity of Pears Purchased per Household, Selected Years, 1980-2007
60
United States: Retail Prices of Selected Fruits, 1995-2007
65
United States: Season Average Grower Prices of Bartlett Pears and of All Other Pears, 1997-2007
68
EU-15: Average Prices of Imported Fresh Pears, 1997-2007
71
Major Pear Trading Countries: Effects of Exchange Rate Changes versus The U.S. dollar, 1998-2003 and 2003-2008
72
Prices of Chinese Exports and Russian Imports of Fresh Pears, monthly, 2006
73
Prices of Argentine Exports and of U.S. Imports of Argentine Fresh
Pears, monthly, 2006
74
United States: Marketing Margins for Fresh Pears, 1990-2006
75
France: Retail and Producer Prices of Fresh Pears, 1999-2007
77
Major Producing Countries: Share of Pear Supplies Processed, 2005-07
91

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Belrose, Inc.
1045 NE Creston Lane
Pullman, WA 99163, USA
Email: belrose@pullman.com

Tel: 509-332-1754
Fax: 509-334-5209